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International Herald Tribune

Pakistan is the Priority; Mission Creep in Afghanistan

  • By
  • Anatol Lieven,
  • New America Foundation

A classic mistake in military strategy is to become so obsessed with a secondary objective that it comes to dominate your entire campaign, not only sucking away essential resources from other, more important goals, but actually working against them.

The End of the West As We Know It?

  • By
  • Anatol Lieven,
  • New America Foundation
December 28, 2006 |

Every political, social and economic system ever created has sooner or later encountered a challenge that its very nature has made it incapable of meeting. The Confucian ruling system of imperial China, which lasted for more than 2,000 years, has some claim still to be the most successful in history, but because it was founded on values of stability and continuity, rather than dynamism and inventiveness, it eventually proved unable to survive in the face of Western imperial capitalism.

Time to Talk to the Bad Guys

  • By
  • Anatol Lieven,
  • New America Foundation
November 11, 2006 |

Now that the Democrats effectively control Congress, it’s no longer enough for them simply to attack the administration for its past incompetence and recklessness in Iraq.

They have to come up with some serious and convincing strategies of their own. So far, they have completely failed to do so.

Let's Get Real

  • By
  • Anatol Lieven,
  • New America Foundation
  • and John Hulsman
October 3, 2006 |

At a dinner for Western experts and journalists on Sept. 9, President Vladimir Putin of Russia issued a stern warning over impending Western moves to grant a form of conditional independence to Kosovo.

He said that Russia would use any such move as a precedent for solutions to the existing "frozen conflicts" in the Georgian autonomous republics of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. These are under de facto Russian military protection, just as Kosovo is under NATO protection.

Saudi Arabia's Moment of Redemption?

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
September 3, 2006 |

Flush with cash from high oil prices, ascendant in its battle with homegrown jihadists, buoyed by a newly robust private sector and entry into the World Trade Organization, and led by a popular, reform-minded king, Saudi Arabia has sputtered to life. After the dark days of the 1990s, marked by stagnation, drift and policy paralysis, the kingdom faces a brighter future.

Help Israel Abandon Its Failed Strategy

  • By
  • Anatol Lieven,
  • New America Foundation
August 10, 2006 |

During the Vietnam War, a Communist leader famously told his US counterpart that the US could kill ten Vietcong for every American who died, and yet would still lose in the end. The same is true of Israel and Hizbollah. Israel is losing for the same reasons that it lost its previous struggle with that organization: bombardment from the air is ineffective; occupation on the ground has to be permanent, and involves an unacceptable stream of Israeli casualties; and outright massacre of the civilian population is (presumably) out of the question.

Putin versus Cheney

  • By
  • Anatol Lieven,
  • New America Foundation

In many ways, Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney are rather similar characters. Both are highly intelligent, but both see the world above all through the restrictive prisms of security and national power.

Overselling a Nuclear Deal

  • By
  • Anatol Lieven,
  • Rajan Menon,
  • New America Foundation

There are sensible and foolish arguments against the U.S.-Indian nuclear deal. The foolish ones are those based on a theological approach to nuclear nonproliferation. The serious ones relate to the nature of the new U.S.-Indian "strategic partnership," and to wider U.S. strategies in the region.

The Gap Between U.S. Rhetoric and Reality

  • By
  • Anatol Lieven,
  • New America Foundation
January 31, 2006 |

The victory of Hamas in the Palestinian elections ought to lead to a fundamental rethinking of U.S. strategy in the Middle East, especially since it follows electoral successes for Islamist parties in Pakistan, Iran, Saudi Arabia and Egypt.

The West's Ukraine Illusion

  • By
  • Anatol Lieven,
  • New America Foundation
January 6, 2006 |

With the Russian-Ukrainian gas dispute now settled, in a murky but apparently satisfactory fashion, it is time to reflect on what the affair says about the West's relations with Russia and, still more important, the West's relations with Ukraine.

The reason a serious debate is necessary is that the West's strategy toward Ukraine has been founded on a bizarre illusion: that Ukraine would leave Russia's orbit and "join the West," and that Russia would pay for this process.

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